Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh – 1st ODI📍 Venue: R. Premadasa Stadium, Colombo🕘 Date & Time: July 2, 2:30 PM IST (09:00 GMT) Match Insights

R. Premadasa Stadium, Colombo – ODI Pitch Report

Pitch Characteristics

  • Type: Slow, dry surface typical of the subcontinent
  • Nature: Starts good for batting, but slows down as the match progresses
  • Ideal for: Spinners and slower bowlers, especially in the second innings

📊 Batting Averages – ODIs Only

InningsAverage ScoreNature
1st Innings270–280Favorable for stroke play
2nd Innings250–260Slower pitch, increased turn
High Scores300+ possibleWith proper top-order partnerships

⚖️ Batting Advantage: First vs Second Innings

AspectBatting FirstBatting Second
Advantage✅ Yes⚠️ Challenging after 30 overs
ReasonFresh pitch, easier strokeplayPitch slows down, helps spinners
Ideal ChoiceTeams winning toss often choose to batChasing becomes harder in dry evening dew

🔄 Pitch Behavior Change During Match

PhaseBehavior
Early OversTrue bounce, ball comes on nicely
Middle OversBegins to grip, slows down
Final 10–15 oversBecomes two-paced, harder to accelerate
Under lightsSlight dew possible, but minimal impact

🔍 Pitch Report for Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh – 1st ODI July 2, 2:30 PM IST (09:00 GMT)

  • 🏏 First batting advantage: Safer to post 270–300
  • 🧤 Spinners dominate: Especially between overs 15–40
  • ⚠️ Chasing is harder: Ball grips, shot timing becomes difficult
  • 📈 A 280+ score is competitive and often match-winning

🏏 Sri Lanka – Top 5 Batsmen Stats

🏏Sri Lanka – Batsmen Likely to Score 30+

1️⃣ Pathum Nissanka

Reason:

  • Strong ODI average (41.11), steady at the top.
  • Plays pace and spin well on slow Asian pitches.
  • Bangladesh’s new-ball bowlers (Taskin, Mustafizur) have struggled with line in recent away matches.
  • He’ll bat early in best conditions (before the pitch slows down).

Chance to cross 30: High (75%)

2️⃣ Charith Asalanka

Reason:

  • Calm middle-order presence, plays spin and pace with control.
  • Will bat during overs 15–40 where he can exploit Bangladesh’s 5th bowling option.
  • Proven form on this ground and Bangladesh bowlers lack a reliable spin finisher.

Chance to cross 30: Moderate–High (65%)

🏏 Bangladesh – Top 5 Batsmen Stats

🏏Bangladesh – Batsmen Likely to Score 30+

1️⃣ Towhid Hridoy

Reason:

  • Currently Bangladesh’s most in-form batter – recent century in ODIs.
  • Technically strong vs spin, crucial for negotiating Hasaranga & Theekshana in middle overs.
  • Likely to bat at No. 4/5, avoiding new ball and capitalizing before death overs.

Chance to cross 30: High (70%)

2️⃣ Litton Das

Reason:

  • ODI average of 30+, with attacking intent in powerplay.
  • Sri Lankan pacers (Asitha, Madushanka) rely on swing—if the ball doesn’t move much early, Litton can capitalize.
  • Has previously scored 90+ vs Sri Lanka in similar subcontinent conditions.

Chance to cross 30: Moderate–High (65%)

🔍 Top Bowling Candidate

Sri Lanka: Wanindu Hasaranga(Right-arm leg-spin)
Bangladesh: Rishad Hossain(Right-arm leg-spinner)

Winning Chance

👉When Sri Lanka Batting First: Estimated Winning Chance : 95%

👉When Sri Lanka Batting Second: Estimated Winning Chance : 55%

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